Catchment states & memory
Field monitoring and water-balance analysis connect rainfall, groundwater response and catchment storage to hydrological-state assessment.
Current researchGeohazards · Hydrology · Physics-informed AI
PhD Student · Zhejiang University
Joint PhD student · NTU · September 2024–September 2026
Catchment processes. Geohazard prediction.
I develop physics-informed and explainable prediction methods for debris flows, landslides and hydrology, connecting field observations, catchment storage and hydrological memory with short-lead forecasting.
Supervised by Prof. Hongyue Sun at ZJU and Prof. Chu Jian during my joint PhD programme at NTU.
Research focus
Small catchments and sparse observations connect three strands of my research.
Field monitoring and water-balance analysis connect rainfall, groundwater response and catchment storage to hydrological-state assessment.
Current researchPhysics-informed learning, ensembles and optimization support sparse-data prediction, with SHAP interpretation, prediction intervals and temporal or spatial evaluation.
Selected workCollaborative work on siphon drainage, slope stabilization and geotechnical modelling connects hydrological understanding with practical hazard mitigation.
Mitigation researchSelected contributions
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · 146, 106496 · 2026
Basin Water Storage Degree (BWSD) provides a sequential water-balance indicator of apparent catchment storage for warning support, evaluated with 908 daily observations in a small mountain catchment.
Georisk · 2026
GAMMA combines conditional diffusion, multimodal learning and a physics-guided regularizer to estimate post-seismic debris-flow source volumes.
Journal of Hydrology · 2024
A multi-strategy stacking model estimates debris-flow velocity at Jiangjiagou, with SHAP analysis of feature contributions and interactions.
Natural Hazards · 2026
DOME combines dynamic ensemble selection, calibration and spatial evaluation for debris-flow susceptibility assessment along a mountain transport corridor.
Current research · Manuscripts
Building on the published Basin Water Storage Degree (BWSD) indicator to connect catchment storage assessment with readiness forecasts from rainfall, drainage and monitored conditions.
Warning-support research; event-detection skill requires validation on debris-flow events and independent catchments.
BWSD case-study code ↗HydroPIML-RS combines hydrological memory, residual learning and physical consistency constraints for short-lead outlet forecasts.
HydroPIML-RS code ↗Exploring tabular foundation models for debris-flow volume and hydrology-informed residual learning for landslide velocity, with prediction intervals.
Volume benchmark code ↗Selected manuscripts, listed separately from published articles. Status based on the latest author records.
Under review following revision · Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Under review · Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment
Under review · Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards
Under review following revision · Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
Under review following second revision · Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
Under review following second revision · Journal of Forecasting
Geohazard assessment
Regional debris-flow susceptibility assessment combining dynamic learner selection, metaheuristic optimization, stacked ensembles and SHAP interpretation.
Small-sample prediction
Small-sample debris-flow volume prediction with TabPFN-2.5, sediment-source information, machine-learning comparisons and regional holdout evaluation.
Landslide forecasting
One-day-ahead landslide velocity forecasting combining robust motion-state estimation, groundwater forecasts, hydrology-informed residual learning and sequential prediction intervals.
Early-warning support
Calibrated probabilities of warning-relevant hydrological states over the next three days in small catchments, with chronological evaluation and optional SHAP attribution.
Catchment hydrology
Reproducible Python analysis of apparent catchment storage, with sequential reference updating, short-lead persistence, sensitivity analysis and uncertainty propagation. The accompanying dataset contains 908 daily observations from Fengshuwan, covering October 2023 to April 2026.
Hydrological prediction
Physics-informed residual stacking for short-lead runoff and water-stage forecasting, with prediction replay and documented revision evidence for the Fengshuwan catchment.
02 / Research output
Journal articles and conference papers.
Bold: my name.
*: corresponding author, where indicated.
Debris flows
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 146, 106496.
Debris flows
Natural Hazards, 122, Article 545.
Debris flows
Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards, 1–29.
Hydrology
Earth Science.
Debris flows
PLOS ONE, 20(6), e0326587.
Debris flows
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 39, 4867–4890.
Geotechnics
International Journal of Geomechanics, 25(10), 04025209.
Algorithms
Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering, 45(5), 1014–1023. (In Chinese)
Debris flows
Journal of Hydrology, 638, 131347.
Geotechnics
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 83, Article 90.
Geotechnics
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, 41(9), 114–122, 129. (In Chinese)
Hydrology
Journal of Hydroinformatics, 26(1), 237–254.
Geotechnics
Journal of Mountain Science, 20(11), 3295–3311
Geotechnics
Geofluids, 2022, Article 3165524, 15 pages.
Geotechnics
Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering, 18(6), 1891–1897. (In Chinese)
Algorithms
Scientific Research and Reviews, 14, 122.
Algorithms · Conference paper
International Conference on Computing and Big Data (ICCBD).
Geotechnics
Environment, Resource and Ecology Journal, 4, 66–69.
Algorithms
Journal of eSciences, 3, 9.
Algorithms
Advances in Research and Reviews, 1, 7.
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03 / Academic training
September 2022 – June 2027 (expected)
PhD · Ocean Technology and Engineering
Ocean College
Supervisor(s): Hongyue Sun
September 2024 – September 2026
Joint PhD Student
School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Supervisor(s): Chu Jian
04 / Research support
6 investigator-led projects · 7 collaborative projects
January 2025 — December 2026
China Association for Science and Technology
Spatiotemporal Dynamic Forecasting and Interpretive Analysis System for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds.
Project ID: 156-O-170-0000603-2 Funding: RMB 40,000.
June 2025 — June 2027
Zhejiang University
Research on Intelligent Debris Flow Forecasting Methods for Small Watersheds Based on Multi-scale Hydrodynamic Coupling Mechanisms.
Grant No. 2025BS004 Funding: RMB 50,000.
2025–2026
Zhejiang University
Spatiotemporal Dynamic Forecasting and Interpretive Analysis System for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds.
Grant No. 825011A · RMB 36,000.
September 2024 — September 2026
China Scholarship Council
Research on Early Spatiotemporal Prediction of Debris Flows and Disaster Control in Small Watersheds.
Grant No. 202406320358 Support: RMB 300,000.
2025.06–2025.11
China International College Students' Innovation Competition, Singapore Regional
SLOPE GUARD: Integrated Landslide Monitoring and Drainage Solution Provider
Project No. 00006 · RMB 10,000 · Completed with distinction.
Completed
University research project
Application of magnetic fluids to visualized fracture seepage and grouting-based seepage control
Completed with distinction.
Completed
University research project
Energy dissipation, load reduction and reliability of flexible cushion layers for gravity retaining walls
Completed with distinction.
January 2023 — December 2027
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Early Forecasting and Disaster Control Methods for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds Based on Hydrodynamic Analysis.
Grant No. 42230702 Total project budget: RMB 2,730,000.
January 2019 — December 2021
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Research on Deformation Prediction Models and Instability Criterion Methods for Reservoir Bank Slopes Based on Copula Theory.
Grant No. 51809151 Total project budget: RMB 250,000. Completed.
CAST Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program
Geomechanical mechanisms of collapse and landslide hazards on steep slopes under climate change
Completed
major provincial commissioned research project
Novel drainage treatment technologies for soft soil
Completed with distinction.
Completed
provincial student innovation project
Smart monitoring system for digitally instrumented towers
Completed with distinction.
Completed
provincial student innovation project
Innovative methods and technologies for slope protection and treatment
Completed with distinction.
Completed
provincial student innovation project
Integrated space-air-ground landslide monitoring and siphon-drainage mitigation system
Completed with distinction.
05 / Recognition & experience
Journal of Hydrology; Acta Geotechnica; Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment; Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment; Powder Technology; Scientific Reports; PLOS ONE; Applied Intelligence; Earth Science Informatics; Groundwater for Sustainable Development; International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems; Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering; Air, Soil and Water Research; Discover Geoscience; Earth Sciences; Array; International Journal of Interactive Multimedia and Artificial Intelligence.
Chinese Society for Rock Mechanics and Engineering; one of 100 recipients nationwide · 2022
3rd National College Student Structural Design Information Technology Competition · 2021
China · 2025, 2021
China International College Students' Innovation Competition, Singapore Regional · 2025
Zhejiang University; four consecutive years
Zhejiang University; four consecutive years
China
China Scholarship Council
China
Chinese Society for Rock Mechanics and Engineering; one of 100 recipients nationwide
university level
China
China
China
four consecutive years
three consecutive years
China International College Students' Innovation Competition, Singapore Regional
Zhejiang International College Students' Innovation Competition (Internet+)
14th Challenge Cup Zhejiang Undergraduate Entrepreneurship Plan Competition
15th Dandelion University Student Entrepreneurship Competition, Zhejiang University
Mathematical Contest in Modeling / Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling (MCM/ICM)
national final, 14th National University Student Social Practice and Science Contest on Energy Saving and Emission Reduction
Southern Region; Third Prize, National, 8th National Financial and Securities Investment Simulation Training Contest
3rd National College Student Structural Design Information Technology Competition
Hubei, 13th Challenge Cup National Undergraduate Curricular Academic Science and Technology Works Competition
Mathematical Contest in Modeling / Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling (MCM/ICM)
Hubei, Contemporary Undergraduate Mathematical Contest in Modeling
Hubei, 5th National Construction College Construction Technology Application Skills Competition
X. Wang, H. Sun, Tianlong Wang, R. Tang, R. Luo
H. Sun, X. Wang, Tianlong Wang, R. Tang, R. Luo
X. Wang, H. Sun, S. Shao, R. Luo, Tianlong Wang
Tianlong Wang, H. Sun, Z. Chu, R. Luo, X. Wang
J. Liu, Z. Li, Tianlong Wang, et al.
J. Liu, Z. Li, Tianlong Wang, et al.
J. Liu, Q. Shi, Z. Wei, S. Li, L. Tang, Tianlong Wang, et al.
J. Liu, Q. Shi, Z. Wei, S. Li, L. Tang, Tianlong Wang, et al.
China International Science and Technology Exchange Center, China Association for Science and Technology, Beijing, China
Student Fitness Club, Ocean College, Zhejiang University
June 2022 — June 2024 · Zhoushan, China
Poetry writing and publication, Chengdu, China
Baihuaping Community, Shennongjia, China
Yujing Tiandi Project, Kunfa Construction Co., Ltd., Yichang, China
The next chapter · June 2027
I am seeking a postdoctoral position from July 2027, following my expected PhD completion in June 2027. I am interested in hydrological and geohazard prediction, physics-informed learning and interpretable AI, and welcome related interdisciplinary research opportunities.
Open to: geohazards · geotechnics · geology · hydrology · machine learning · PIML and XAI applications
06 / Get in touch
I welcome conversations about research collaborations, geohazard monitoring, and the methods and software presented here.