Geohazards · Hydrology · Physics-informed & explainable AI
PhD Student · Zhejiang University
Joint doctoral research training · Nanyang Technological University
Understanding processes. Advancing geohazard prediction.
I develop AI methods for spatiotemporal forecasting of geohazards, especially debris flows and landslides. My work connects physics-informed machine learning (PIML), explainable AI (XAI) and hydrological theory with monitoring and mitigation.
Supervised by Prof. Hongyue Sun at ZJU and Prof. Chu Jian during joint doctoral research training at NTU.
Ensembles, optimization and sparse-data forecasting.
Physical constraints, hydrological memory and catchment storage.
SHAP interpretation, prediction intervals and temporal/spatial evaluation.
Research focus
Prediction is the thread running through my work: from hydrological and groundwater response to debris-flow dynamics, landslide motion and hazard assessment.
I use catchment and slope monitoring to study hydrological memory, rainfall–groundwater coupling and storage-state indicators that inform geohazard forecasting.
Field monitoring · Hydrological memory · Water storage
Current researchI develop PIML, XAI, ensemble learning and optimization methods for spatial hazard assessment and temporal forecasts of flow, water levels and slope movement.
PIML & XAI · Algorithm development · Spatiotemporal prediction
Selected workCollaborative work on siphon drainage, slope stabilization and geotechnical modelling connects hydrological understanding with practical hazard mitigation.
Siphon drainage · Slope stabilization · Numerical modelling
Mitigation researchSelected contributions
Georisk · 2026
GAMMA combines conditional diffusion, multimodal learning and a physics-guided regularizer to estimate post-seismic debris-flow source volumes.
Journal of Hydrology · 2024
A multi-strategy stacking model estimates debris-flow velocity at Jiangjiagou, with SHAP analysis of feature contributions and interactions.
Natural Hazards · 2026
DOME combines dynamic ensemble selection, calibration and spatial evaluation for debris-flow susceptibility assessment along a mountain transport corridor.
Current research · Manuscripts
Developing Basin Water Storage Degree (BWSD) and readiness forecasts from rainfall, drainage and monitored catchment conditions.
Warning-support research; event-detection skill requires validation on debris-flow events and independent catchments.
BWSD case-study code ↗HydroPIML-RS combines hydrological memory, residual learning and physical consistency constraints for short-lead outlet forecasts.
HydroPIML-RS code ↗Exploring tabular foundation models for debris-flow volume and hydrology-informed residual learning for landslide velocity, with prediction intervals.
Volume benchmark code ↗01 / Research output
Journal articles and conference papers.
Bold: my name.
*: corresponding author, where indicated.
Debris flows
Natural Hazards, 122, Article 545.
Debris flows
Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards, 1–29.
Hydrology
Earth Science.
Debris flows
PLOS ONE, 20(6), e0326587.
Debris flows
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 39, 4867–4890.
Geotechnics
International Journal of Geomechanics, 25(10), 04025209.
Algorithms
Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering, 45(5), 1014–1023. (In Chinese)
Debris flows
Journal of Hydrology, 638, 131347.
Geotechnics
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 83, Article 90.
Geotechnics
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, 41(9), 114–122, 129. (In Chinese)
Hydrology
Journal of Hydroinformatics, 26(1), 237–254.
Geotechnics
Journal of Mountain Science, 20(11), 3295–3311
Geotechnics
Geofluids, 2022, Article 3165524, 15 pages.
Geotechnics
Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering, 18(6), 1891–1897. (In Chinese)
Algorithms
Scientific Research and Reviews, 14, 122.
Algorithms · Conference paper
International Conference on Computing and Big Data (ICCBD).
Geotechnics
Environment, Resource and Ecology Journal, 4, 66–69.
Algorithms
Journal of eSciences, 3, 9.
Algorithms
Advances in Research and Reviews, 1, 7.
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Geohazard assessment
Regional debris-flow susceptibility assessment combining dynamic learner selection, metaheuristic optimization, stacked ensembles and SHAP interpretation.
Small-sample prediction
Small-sample debris-flow volume prediction with TabPFN-2.5, sediment-source information, machine-learning comparisons and regional holdout evaluation.
Landslide forecasting
One-day-ahead landslide velocity forecasting combining robust motion-state estimation, groundwater forecasts, hydrology-informed residual learning and sequential prediction intervals.
Early-warning support
Calibrated probabilities of warning-relevant hydrological states over the next three days in small catchments, with chronological evaluation and optional SHAP attribution.
Catchment hydrology
Daily Basin Water Storage Degree calculation and hydrological-state classification from the Fengshuwan catchment water balance.
Hydrological prediction
Physics-informed residual stacking for short-lead runoff and water-stage forecasting, with prediction replay and documented revision evidence for the Fengshuwan catchment.
03 / Academic training
September 2022 – June 2027 (expected)
PhD · Ocean Technology and Engineering
Ocean College
Supervisor(s): Hongyue Sun
September 2024 – September 2026
Joint Doctoral Research Training
School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Supervisor(s): Chu Jian
04 / Research support
January 2025 — December 2026
China Association for Science and Technology
Spatiotemporal Dynamic Forecasting and Interpretive Analysis System for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds.
Project ID: 156-O-170-0000603-2 Funding: RMB 40,000.
June 2025 — June 2027
Zhejiang University
Research on Intelligent Debris Flow Forecasting Methods for Small Watersheds Based on Multi-scale Hydrodynamic Coupling Mechanisms.
Grant No. 2025BS004 Funding: RMB 50,000.
2025–2026
Zhejiang University
Spatiotemporal Dynamic Forecasting and Interpretive Analysis System for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds.
Grant No. 825011A · RMB 36,000.
September 2024 — September 2026
China Scholarship Council
Research on Early Spatiotemporal Prediction of Debris Flows and Disaster Control in Small Watersheds.
Grant No. 202406320358 Support: RMB 300,000.
January 2023 — December 2027
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Early Forecasting and Disaster Control Methods for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds Based on Hydrodynamic Analysis.
Grant No. 42230702 Total project budget: RMB 2,730,000.
January 2019 — December 2021
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Research on Deformation Prediction Models and Instability Criterion Methods for Reservoir Bank Slopes Based on Copula Theory.
Grant No. 51809151 Total project budget: RMB 250,000. Completed.
05 / Recognition & experience
Journal of Hydrology; Acta Geotechnica; Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment; Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment; Powder Technology; PLOS ONE; Applied Intelligence; Earth Science Informatics; Groundwater for Sustainable Development; International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems; Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering; Air, Soil and Water Research; Discover Geoscience; Earth Sciences; Array; International Journal of Interactive Multimedia and Artificial Intelligence.
China
China Scholarship Council
CHEC
City Underground Space Engineering Professional Committee, CSRME
Corporate Endowment
Corporate Endowment
University level · Four consecutive years
Three consecutive years
China International College Students’ Innovation Competition, Singapore Regional
Zhejiang International College Students’ Innovation Competition (Internet+), China
The 14th “Challenge Cup” Zhejiang Undergraduate Entrepreneurship Plan Competition, China
The 15th “Dandelion” University Student Entrepreneurship Competition, Zhejiang University
Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling (MCM/ICM), USA
The 14th National University Student Social Practice and Science Contest on Energy Saving and Emission Reduction, China
The 8th National Financial and Securities Investment Simulation Training Contest, China
The 3rd National College Student Structural Design Information Technology Competition, China
The 13th “Challenge Cup” National Undergraduate Curricular Academic Science and Technology Works Conference (Hubei), China
Mathematical Contest in Modeling (MCM/ICM), USA
Contemporary Undergraduate Mathematical Contest in Modeling (Hubei), China
The 5th National Construction College Construction Technology Application Skills Competition (Hubei), China
H. Sun, X. Wang, Tianlong Wang, R. Tang, R. Luo
X. Wang, H. Sun, S. Shao, R. Luo, Tianlong Wang
X. Wang, H. Sun, Tianlong Wang, R. Tang, R. Luo
Tianlong Wang, H. Sun, Z. Chu, R. Luo, X. Wang
J. Liu, Z. Li, Tianlong Wang, et al.
J. Liu, Z. Li, Tianlong Wang, et al.
J. Liu, Q. Shi, Z. Wei, S. Li, L. Tang, Tianlong Wang, et al.
J. Liu, Q. Shi, Z. Wei, S. Li, L. Tang, Tianlong Wang, et al.
China International Science and Technology Exchange Center, China Association for Science and Technology, Beijing, China
Student Fitness Club, Ocean College, Zhejiang University
June 2022 — June 2024 · Zhoushan, China
Poetry writing and publication, Chengdu, China
Baihuaping Community, Shennongjia, China
Yujing Tiandi Project, Kunfa Construction Co., Ltd., Yichang, China
The next chapter · June 2027
I am actively seeking an international postdoctoral position after my expected PhD completion in June 2027.
Open to: geohazards · geotechnics · geology · hydrology · machine learning · PIML and XAI applications
06 / Get in touch
I welcome conversations about research collaborations, geohazard monitoring, and the methods and software presented here.