Zhejiang University
PhD · Ocean Technology and Engineering · Ocean College
September 2022 – June 2027 (expected) · Supervisor(s): Hongyue Sun
Tianlong Wang
PhD Student · Zhejiang University
Joint doctoral research training · Nanyang Technological University
tianlong_wang@zju.edu.cn · Academic homepage · Google Scholar · ORCID
Research profile
My strength is developing AI methods for spatiotemporal forecasting of geohazards. I combine physics-informed machine learning (PIML), explainable AI (XAI), optimization and hydrological process knowledge to study debris flows, landslides and catchment response. I welcome interdisciplinary applications across geotechnics, geology, hydrology and machine learning.
Debris-flow susceptibility, source volume and velocity · Runoff and water-stage forecasting · Groundwater and landslide dynamics · Siphon drainage and slope stabilization
Education & research training
Nanyang Technological University
Joint Doctoral Research Training · School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
September 2024 – September 2026 · Supervisor(s): Chu Jian
Research strengths
Prediction methods
Ensembles, optimization and sparse-data forecasting.
Physics & hydrology
Physical constraints, hydrological memory and catchment storage.
Interpretation & uncertainty
SHAP interpretation, prediction intervals and temporal/spatial evaluation.
Published work
Bold indicates my name; * denotes corresponding author where indicated. Journal articles and conference papers are listed below; current manuscripts are described separately.
- DOME: A Dynamic Optimization Meta-Ensemble Framework for Debris-Flow Susceptibility Assessment with SHAP-Based Interpretation
Natural Hazards, 122, Article 545. · 2026
- Intelligent Prediction of Post-Seismic Debris Flow Source Volumes: A Physics-Informed Generative Deep Learning Framework
Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards, 1–29. · 2026
- Impacts of Land Use Change on Watershed Hydrological Processes Based on the SWAT-ML-SHAP Model: A Case Study of Fenshuijiang River Basin
Earth Science. · 2026
- An integrated IKOA-CNN-BiGRU-Attention framework with SHAP explainability for high-precision debris flow hazard prediction in the Nujiang river basin, China
PLOS ONE, 20(6), e0326587. · 2025
- A novel method for predicting debris flow hazard: a multi-strategy fusion approach based on the light gradient boosting machine framework
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 39, 4867–4890. · 2025
- 3D Numerical Simulation of the Shortest Length of a Blocking Section for a Self-Starting Drainage Method
International Journal of Geomechanics, 25(10), 04025209. · 2025
- Multi-parameter Calibration Method and Application of Constitutive Model Based on Improved Dung Beetle Optimization Algorithm
Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering, 45(5), 1014–1023. (In Chinese) · 2025
- Prediction and explanation of debris flow velocity based on multi-strategy fusion Stacking ensemble learning model
Journal of Hydrology, 638, 131347. · 2024
- Study and verification on an improved comprehensive prediction model of landslide displacement
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 83, Article 90. · 2024
- Indoor Model Test of Negative Pressure Drainage Method for Treatment of Engineering Mud
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, 41(9), 114–122, 129. (In Chinese) · 2024
- Study on wavelet multi-scale analysis and prediction of landslide groundwater
Journal of Hydroinformatics, 26(1), 237–254. · 2024
- A new anchor-siphon drainage combined method used for slope stabilization
Journal of Mountain Science, 20(11), 3295–3311 · 2023
- Experimental Study on Grouting and Flow Characteristics of Rough Vertical Fractures
Geofluids, 2022, Article 3165524, 15 pages. · 2022
- Experimental Research on Shear Mechanical Characteristics of Pile-Coral Sand Interface
Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering, 18(6), 1891–1897. (In Chinese) · 2022
- Determining the location of River Dam Group based on set cover Model: A case study of Zambezi River Basin
Scientific Research and Reviews, 14, 122. · 2021
- Carbon emission forecast of China Transport Industry Based on Grey - Markov
International Conference on Computing and Big Data (ICCBD). · 2021 · Conference paper
- Research on Prediction and Optimization of Slope Deformation in Mining Area
Environment, Resource and Ecology Journal, 4, 66–69. · 2020
- Optimization of Task Pricing Based on Multiple Regression Analysis and Game Theory
Journal of eSciences, 3, 9. · 2020
- Predicting Traffic Congestion Time Based on Kalman Filter Algorithm
Advances in Research and Reviews, 1, 7. · 2020
Current research
Research in current manuscripts; these entries are not listed as published articles.
Hydrological readiness & catchment storage
Developing Basin Water Storage Degree (BWSD) and readiness forecasts from rainfall, drainage and monitored catchment conditions.
Warning-support research; event-detection skill requires validation on debris-flow events and independent catchments.
Physics-guided runoff & stage forecasting
HydroPIML-RS combines hydrological memory, residual learning and physical consistency constraints for short-lead outlet forecasts.
Prediction with sparse observations
Exploring tabular foundation models for debris-flow volume and hydrology-informed residual learning for landslide velocity, with prediction intervals.
Funding & collaborative projects
Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program Doctoral Student Special Plan
China Association for Science and Technology · PI · January 2025 — December 2026
Spatiotemporal Dynamic Forecasting and Interpretive Analysis System for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds. Project ID: 156-O-170-0000603-2 Funding: RMB 40,000.
Seed Fund Cultivation Project of Ocean College
Zhejiang University · PI · June 2025 — June 2027
Research on Intelligent Debris Flow Forecasting Methods for Small Watersheds Based on Multi-scale Hydrodynamic Coupling Mechanisms. Grant No. 2025BS004 Funding: RMB 50,000.
Outstanding Doctoral Dissertation Award Cultivation Grant
Zhejiang University · PI · 2025–2026
Spatiotemporal Dynamic Forecasting and Interpretive Analysis System for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds. Grant No. 825011A · RMB 36,000.
National Construction of High-Level Universities Program
China Scholarship Council · Recipient · September 2024 — September 2026
Research on Early Spatiotemporal Prediction of Debris Flows and Disaster Control in Small Watersheds. Grant No. 202406320358 Support: RMB 300,000.
Key Program
National Natural Science Foundation of China · Core team member · January 2023 — December 2027
Early Forecasting and Disaster Control Methods for Debris Flows in Small Watersheds Based on Hydrodynamic Analysis. Grant No. 42230702 Total project budget: RMB 2,730,000.
Young Scientists Fund
National Natural Science Foundation of China · Core team member · January 2019 — December 2021
Research on Deformation Prediction Models and Instability Criterion Methods for Reservoir Bank Slopes Based on Copula Theory. Grant No. 51809151 Total project budget: RMB 250,000. Completed.
Research software
DOME
Regional debris-flow susceptibility assessment combining dynamic learner selection, metaheuristic optimization, stacked ensembles and SHAP interpretation.
TabPFNv2.5-DebrisFlow
Small-sample debris-flow volume prediction with TabPFN-2.5, sediment-source information, machine-learning comparisons and regional holdout evaluation.
RSRL-HU
One-day-ahead landslide velocity forecasting combining robust motion-state estimation, groundwater forecasts, hydrology-informed residual learning and sequential prediction intervals.
Hydrological Readiness Forecasting
Calibrated probabilities of warning-relevant hydrological states over the next three days in small catchments, with chronological evaluation and optional SHAP attribution.
BWSD
Daily Basin Water Storage Degree calculation and hydrological-state classification from the Fengshuwan catchment water balance.
HydroPIML-RS
Physics-informed residual stacking for short-lead runoff and water-stage forecasting, with prediction replay and documented revision evidence for the Fengshuwan catchment.
Academic service
Journal reviewing
Journal of Hydrology; Acta Geotechnica; Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment; Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment; Powder Technology; PLOS ONE; Applied Intelligence; Earth Science Informatics; Groundwater for Sustainable Development; International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems; Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering; Air, Soil and Water Research; Discover Geoscience; Earth Sciences; Array; International Journal of Interactive Multimedia and Artificial Intelligence.
Professional memberships
Chinese Society for Rock Mechanics and Engineering; Geological Society of China; China Civil Engineering Society.
Selected recognition & skills
National Scholarship (2025, 2021); China Scholarship Council doctoral mobility support (2024–2026); China Harbour Engineering Company Scholarship (2023).
Python and MATLAB; physics-informed and explainable machine learning; ensemble modelling and optimization; hydrological monitoring and numerical analysis.
Beyond research: poetry, fitness, swimming, reading and photography. Author of Sugenilan (2025); writing Suge Weilai (working title). Poetry website.